Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.495961 0.550138 0.608540 0.676300 0.752912 0.837023 0.936598
2025-05-25 0.399172 0.471594 0.555545 0.660572 0.789170 0.942415 1.140219
2025-06-01 0.355206 0.437683 0.538077 0.670324 0.841495 1.057677 1.354727
2025-06-08 0.317494 0.404359 0.514259 0.665130 0.869394 1.139987 1.531725
2025-06-15 0.292179 0.382863 0.501494 0.670343 0.908227 1.237107 1.736294
2025-06-22 0.266138 0.357247 0.479874 0.659907 0.922444 1.299228 1.895603
2025-06-29 0.245476 0.336738 0.462769 0.653097 0.939576 1.365211 2.065878
2025-07-06 0.221524 0.309460 0.433551 0.625490 0.922308 1.376645 2.150515
2025-07-13 0.210819 0.300176 0.429174 0.633824 0.959550 1.474365 2.384306
2025-07-20 0.201022 0.291340 0.424521 0.640888 0.994765 1.571388 2.627477
2025-07-27 0.192149 0.283144 0.420023 0.647455 1.029199 1.669697 2.883884
2025-08-03 0.183369 0.274401 0.413903 0.650624 1.057785 1.760158 3.136283
2025-08-10 0.176031 0.267580 0.410552 0.658456 1.095731 1.872127 3.446776
2025-08-17 0.164614 0.253552 0.394687 0.643939 1.093167 1.910832 3.619697
2025-08-24 0.158969 0.248436 0.392933 0.653360 1.134123 2.033871 3.979134
2025-08-31 0.151081 0.239103 0.383466 0.648320 1.147687 2.105574 4.240233
2025-09-07 0.145647 0.233499 0.379870 0.653382 1.180488 2.217932 4.604767
2025-09-14 0.138046 0.223759 0.368499 0.643249 1.182826 2.268756 4.837672
2025-09-21 0.131596 0.215623 0.359411 0.636637 1.191390 2.333036 5.110586
2025-09-28 0.122457 0.202324 0.340396 0.609829 1.156899 2.302499 5.151756
2025-10-05 0.119229 0.199253 0.339553 0.617922 1.194672 2.432068 5.606264
2025-10-12 0.116010 0.196007 0.338165 0.624781 1.230368 2.560727 6.078718
2025-10-19 0.112908 0.192793 0.336619 0.631158 1.265508 2.691822 6.578815